Race readiness

Race Readiness Report

Know exactly where the gaps are before race day

A sixteen-section personalised report that maps your actual race history against the demands of your goal race - terrain by terrain, dimension by dimension.

Not a generic training guide. Not a fitness calculator. A structured analysis of what the race requires, what you have already demonstrated, and exactly what is missing - with preparation race recommendations, aid station logistics, physical assessments, and prioritised next steps to close the gaps before it matters.

A verdict, not a vague score

The opening page gives a plain-English assessment of your current readiness, colour-coded across the six dimensions that actually determine whether you are prepared for your specific race.

Each dimension is rated against the specific demands of your goal race - not generic fitness standards. You can be strong on distance and still have a major gap on terrain specificity. The report makes that distinction visible.

Distance

128 km max vs 79 km target

Strong

Ascent

2,600 m max vs 3,226 m target

Strong

Descent

8.0 km covered of 21.3 km required

Major gap

Terrain specificity

0.0 km trail/fell vs 49.1 km demanded

Major gap

Time on feet

137.8 km effort-equiv vs 108.9 km goal

Strong

Overall confidence

1 of 19 demand types fully met

Major gap

Example - Lakeland 50, Alex Thornton

Inside the report

Sixteen sections. Each answers a specific question about whether you are ready - and if not, what to do about it.

Section 01

Executive Readiness Verdict

The opening verdict page - overall readiness rating, the athlete's single biggest strength, primary risk, and the top preparation priorities. Also sets out what this report does and does not assess.

Race Readiness Summary

Lakeland 50 · Alex Thornton

Overall verdict

Not yet race-specific ready

Readiness at a glance

Distance

128 km max vs 79 km target

Strong

Ascent

2,600 m max vs 3,226 m target

Strong

Descent

8.0 km covered of 21.3 km

Major gap

Terrain specificity

0.0 km trail/fell vs 49.1 km demanded

Major gap

Time on feet

137.8 km effort-equiv vs 108.9 km goal

Strong

Overall confidence

1 of 19 demand types fully met

Major gap

Section 02

Readiness Narrative

A plain-English synthesis of the full report - why the athlete is or is not broadly ready, what the course demands relative to their history, and what could still catch them out on race day.

Readiness Narrative

A synthesised assessment drawing on all sections of this report

Overall Readiness Assessment

Significant Preparation Required

Ultra Trail Snowdonia 100km · Alex Thornton

Findings by section

Race Character

Only 23% runnable

Race Demands

Final third effort near avg

6,770 m ascent demand

Athlete Experience

Distance-comparable experience

Experience Gaps

7 demand types with zero experience

Alex Thornton has 12 races on record across 8 years. Vertical experience is the primary gap: 6,770 m ascent required vs career best of 2,600 m. Dedicated hill and mountain training is the most important preparation focus.

Section 03

Readiness Scorecard

A structured summary across six readiness dimensions: Distance, Ascent, Descent, Terrain specificity, Technical terrain, and Aid logistics. Each is rated Strong / Moderate / Major gap with the underlying numbers shown.

Readiness Scorecard

How Alex measures up against Ultra Trail Snowdonia 100km across every dimension

Distance

128 km max vs 105 km target

Strong

Ascent

2,600 m max vs 6,770 m target

Major gap

Descent

123.0 km covered of 43.8 km

Strong

Terrain specificity

234.0 km trail/fell vs 71.7 km demanded

Strong

Technical terrain

0.0 km technical trail vs 22.2 km demanded

Major gap

Aid logistics

7 stations · longest gap 15.3 km

Moderate

Overall confidence

3 of 19 demand types fully met

Moderate

Section 04

Race Overview

A high-level picture of the course: mapped route, terrain composition, and key course metrics. Use this page to build a shared mental model of the race before reading the deeper analysis.

Race Overview

Course profile, terrain character, and historical conditions · 24 July 2026

78.6 km

Distance

3,226 m ↑

Ascent

3,315 m ↓

Descent

41 m/km

Climb/km

Terrain composition

Trail

36.7 km · 53%

Gravel

12.3 km · 18%

Road

8.1 km · 12%

Technical Trail

6.7 km · 10%

Fell

5.7 km · 8%

2025 finishers

1,000 finishers

Section 05

Elevation

The elevation profile, composition, and climbing load show how ascent is distributed across the course - when the hard work arrives, how the course is weighted front-to-back, and how the climbing density compares to races already completed.

Elevation

Elevation profile and climbing load - Ultra Trail Snowdonia 100km

1063m65m0km25km50km75km105km

Climbing

39.7 km · 38%

Descending

43.8 km · 42%

Flat/Rolling

21.8 km · 21%

Key segments

▲ km 70.0–76.0

+1,002m

6.0 km

▼ km 76.0–82.0

−912m

6.0 km

▲ km 1.0–7.0

+809m

6.0 km

Section 06

Race Demands Profile

Three technical charts: the gradient histogram reveals how much of the course is steep, the effort multiplier chart shows the energy cost of each section, and the technical terrain panel identifies where off-road ground falls in the race.

Race Demands Profile

Gradient distribution, climbing load, and effort multiplier

Gradient distribution - km at each slope band

≥15% ↑

2.3

8–15% ↑

6.8

3–8% ↑

11.5

0–3%

32.3

3–8% ↓

11

8–15% ↓

7.9

≥15% ↓

5.8

41% near-flat (within ±3%)

mixed terrain

Avg effort multiplier

0.94× flat running

63% of ascent before halfway

front-loaded

Section 07

Race Demands Profile (continued)

Demand summary cards quantify the four key physical challenges - climbing volume, descending load, final third demands, and effort variability. Late-race pattern data shows how athletes typically manage fatigue on this course.

Race Demands Profile (continued)

Demand summary and race pattern data

Climbing demand

3,226 m over 23.8 km

30% of course

Steepest: 13.9% avg

(km 12.3–14.8)

Descending demand

3,315 m over 21.3 km

27% of course

Steepest: 11.9% avg

(km 27.8–30.5)

Final third demands

km 52.4–78.6 covers 17.0 km

564 m remaining ascent

Effort multiplier: 1.05×

Harder than average

Section 08

Athlete Overview

A profile of the athlete's competitive history, including career highlights, recent results, and category finishes over the last two years. This page establishes the baseline from which all readiness comparisons on subsequent pages are drawn.

Athlete Overview

Alex Thornton · MV40 · Dark Peak Fell Runners · 2018–2025

12

Races

11

Finishes

1

DNFs

7 yrs

Career

Recent races (last 2 years)

Fin

Hardwolds 80

2025

21:44

128km

Fin

Yorkshire Wolds Ultra

2024

8:18

54km

Fin

Hardwolds 40

2024

9:36

74km

DNF

Lakeland 50

2024

-

79km

Section 09

Experience Gaps

Every terrain type on the goal course is listed - alongside how many kilometres of that terrain the athlete has covered in previous races. Red and amber rows identify where targeted build-up would have the most impact.

Experience Gaps

Every terrain demand of Lakeland 50 - ordered by distance on course

7 no experience11 surface gaps1 covered

Mild Climb

Trail · avg +2.8%

7.6

km

Surface gap

Flat

Trail · avg +0.1%

7.1

km

Surface gap

Sustained Descent

Road · avg −7.4%

5.9

km

Covered

Steep Descent

Trail · avg −9.4%

5.3

km

No experience

Mild Climb

Gravel · avg +2.8%

5.2

km

Surface gap

Steep Climb

Trail · avg +12.6%

4.5

km

Surface gap

Rolling

Fell · avg 0.0%

3.2

km

No experience

Section 10

Demands Built Up

The athlete's peak single-race load versus what this race demands. Bar charts compare highest distance, ascent, and flat-equivalent effort against the goal race targets - the fastest way to spot which dimensions are under-prepared.

Demands Built Up

Peak load recorded vs Lakeland 50 demands

Distance

128 km

Target: 79 km

✓ Demand met

Ascent

2,600 m

Target: 3,226 m

81% of target demand

Recent race history vs targets

Hardwolds 80 2025

Yorkshire Wolds Ultra 2024

Hardwolds 40 2024

Hardmoors 55 2023

Section 11

Aid Station Analysis

Gap analysis between aid stations, comparison against the athlete's largest previously-managed unsupported stretch, and preparation flags for nutrition logistics and drop bag strategy.

Aid Station Analysis

Gap analysis and logistics preparation for Ultra Trail Snowdonia 100km

7

Stations

15.3 km

Longest gap

13.2 km

Average gap

No

Drop bags

Stations

Station 1

14 km

+14.0 km

Station 2

29.3 km

+15.3 km

Station 3

41.7 km

+12.4 km

Station 4

54 km

+12.3 km

Station 5

67.4 km

+13.4 km

No drop bag support - all kit and nutrition must be self-carried for the full 105 km.

Section 12

Suggested Preparation Races

Nearby races ranked by how effectively they would close the athlete's identified experience gaps. Each suggestion lists the specific terrain types it covers and the kilometres it would contribute toward closing each gap.

Suggested Preparation Races

Races within 500 miles ranked by experience gap coverage

Ultra Trail Snowdonia 100km

105.4 km · 6,770 m · 146.4 mi away

86% coverage

Flat Rolling / Trail - 19.4 km (88%)

Runnable Descent / Trail - 15.0 km (100%)

Steady Climb / Trail - 9.0 km (100%)

+4 more gap types addressed

Marathon Eryri

42.0 km · 819 m · Next: 24 Oct 2026

50% coverage

Flat Rolling / Trail - 25.0 km (100%)

Steady Climb / Trail - 7.0 km (78%)

Gentle Descent / Trail - 3.0 km (22%)

+3 more gap types addressed

Section 13

Experience Context

Three contextual comparisons that put the goal race in perspective: scale ratios showing how much bigger this race is than anything the athlete has done, the biggest climb on the course vs their personal best, and which past race most resembles the opening section.

Experience Context

How Alex's past races compare to the demands of Lakeland 50

Course scale

At 78.6 km, shorter than longest (127.8 km). The 1.2× ascent increase is the bigger step up.

0.6×

Distance

1.2×

Ascent

0.8×

Effort

Biggest challenge

Main climb (km 17–22, 536m over 5km at 10.7%) is 2.8× bigger than any climb in history.

Biggest recorded: 1 km, 190m ↑ (Hardmoors Saltburn, 2023)

Opening profile

Opening 15.7 km similar to how Wold Rangers Way Ultra (2022) started.

Similarity 92% - Flat Rolling on Trail

Section 14

Self-Reflection

Questions the data cannot answer - areas where honest self-assessment can significantly change the outlook for race day. Injuries, sleep, consistency, footwear, nutrition, pain, and goal realism.

Self-Reflection

Questions the data cannot answer - to consider honestly before race day

Have you been injured in the last few months?

Have you slept enough and at sufficient quality in the last few months?

Have you trained consistently for at least 16 weeks?

Have you considered whether your footwear is correct for the demands of this race?

Have you practised your race nutrition strategy - and does your body tolerate it?

Are you currently carrying any pain or tightness that you are hoping will be fine on the day?

Is your goal time based on evidence - or is it hopeful?

These questions are not designed to discourage you. They surface factors predictive models cannot see. Addressing even one honestly will do more than any additional training session.

Section 15

Physical Self-Assessments

Practical tests to identify strength gaps, imbalances, and flexibility limitations that may not be visible in race data. Grouped by category with step-by-step instructions and what to record.

Physical Self-Assessments

Tests to identify strength gaps, imbalances, and flexibility limitations

Priority assessments

Split-Squat Control

Imbalance
Gravel stabilityDownhillUphill

Single-leg sit-to-stand

Strength
Gravel stabilityDownhillUphill

Single Leg Balance

Imbalance
TechnicalGeneral asymmetry

Knee-to-wall

Flexibility
TechnicalUphill

Step-down control test

Imbalance
Downhill

Single Leg Calf Raise

Strength
UphillDownhill

Section 16

Suggested Next Steps

Prioritised actions for the preparation period - specific training focus areas, race-day logistics to confirm, and the most impactful gaps to address before the start line.

Suggested Next Steps

Prioritised actions derived from the gap analysis and course demands

Priority

Develop quad strength for climbing

Strength & Conditioning

Eccentric loading for steep descents

Strength & Conditioning

Ankle stability for uneven terrain

Strength & Conditioning

Seek technical trail exposure

Terrain Specificity

Build a fuelling strategy

Race Preparation

Recommended

Practise efficient power hiking

Terrain Specificity

Confirm footwear for the terrain

Equipment

No drop bag support - practise self-sufficiency

Race Preparation

Built from actual data

Built from actual data

Every finding in the report is derived from real sources. There are no generic benchmarks or assumed fitness levels.

Your race history

Every finished race on record: distance, ascent, terrain type, position, and time. The report works from actual performance data, not self-reported fitness.

Course GPX & terrain classification

Gradient distribution, terrain surface, and section-by-section effort cost derived from the race's GPX file and elevation data. Not estimates - direct course analysis.

Specific enough to act on

Vague readiness assessments don't change preparation. The report names exactly which terrain type is the gap, how many kilometres of it the race demands, and which preparation races would close it - ranked by how much of the gap each one addresses.

For Alex Thornton preparing for Lakeland 50, Ultra Trail Snowdonia addresses 86% of identified experience gaps. Marathon Eryri, available in October, covers 50%. That's the information that changes which race gets entered next.

Example - Alex Thornton · Lakeland 50

Ultra Trail Snowdonia 100km

105.4 km · 6,770 m ascent

86% gap coverage

Addresses 9 identified gap types - closes 100% of Runnable Descent, Steady Climb, and Major Climb gaps on trail

Marathon Eryri

42.0 km · 819 m ascent

50% gap coverage

Addresses 8 gap types - 100% of Flat Rolling gap, 78% of Steady Climb gap. Next race: 24 Oct 2026

Get a report for your target race

Each report is generated for you and your specific race. Provide your race history and your goal race, and we'll do the rest.

Reports are typically delivered within 48 hours of receiving your race history.